July 24, 2021

2020 Blue Jays non-tender candidate: Matt Shoemaker (Bluebird Banter)

Monday, December 2nd is the deadline for MLB teams to tender 2020 contracts to players under team control. After trimming non-tender candidates Devon Travis, Ryan Tepera and Tim Mayza over the last month, the Blue Jays have six remaining arbitration-eligible players. Ken Giles is the only lock to be tendered a contract, so we’ll look at the cases of the other five leading into the deadline.

Previous profiles: Anthony Bass, Brandon Drury, Derek Law, Luke Maile

Background: Signed as a free agent in December 2018 after non-tendered by LAA; career 7.9 fWAR / 7.1 bWAR in 573.2 innings

2019 production: 0.6 fWAR / 1.2 bWAR in 28.2 innings, a strong start to his season before suffering a season ending ACL tear in late April at Oakland.

2020 Steamer projection: 5.04 ERA / 5.00 FIP in 149 innings, 1.4 WAR. Which frankly seems both far too optimistic on innings (one career season above that) and too pessimistic on production (one season above that FIP, none ERA) — though the bottom line number might be about right. His Marcel projection at Baseball-Reference is 77 innings at 4.21 ERA, which seems far more on point.

Status: 5.166 years of service, $3.5-million platform year salary,…

Read “2020 Blue Jays non-tender candidate: Matt Shoemaker” at Bluebird Banter