July 25, 2021

HH’s Year in Review: Looking through the Predictions (The Crawfish Boxes)


This is a piece that I’ll completely understand if you guys skip. The other day I realized I had been writing for CrawfishBoxes for over a year and saw that I had 170+ articles (of course not all of them had predictions) during that time. I thought it would be a fun exercise to go back through my predictions and see how they looked and then look at the methodology to see if I can find improvements to make better predictions in the future. I figured some of you may enjoy seeing some of my terrible predictions and be able to provide insight into different ways of looking into it and give your recommendations for improvement. I decided to start with last year’s off-season as my beginning point.


Milwaukee Brewers v Cincinnati Reds

Photo by Jamie Sabau/Getty Images

Sonny GrayAt the time of writing, Gray was a 4.90 ERA pitcher that many assumed were washed up. Looking at his pitches there was no notable drop in performance related to velocity/spin rate/etc but a good combination of bad luck and the Yankees using him incorrectly.

Prediction: I do believe that Gray has a strong potential to regress back towards his career numbers…

Read “HH’s Year in Review: Looking through the Predictions” at The Crawfish Boxes